The Numbers Game

July 7, 2009

Resistance is futile we are told by the government. They would like us to believe that, they really would. They hope that they can convince the People that there is no way to win against the government and all of their forces. But is what they would like us to believe really true? Lets us talk about numbers for a moment.

Let us first start with the police presence in America, as I mentioned in my article The Thin Blue Line:

"...according to FBI statistics from 2007 www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius2007/police/index.html Table 76 there where 71,847 state police and in Table 77 there where 1,636,061 local, city and county police in the Several States. The total for all police at the local, city, county and state level is 1,707,908. According to Table 77 the population in the Several States was 285,866,466. If we round those numbers up to account for expansion since then we get 1.8 million police, actual sworn officers excluding "civilian employees" and a population of 286 million people in the Several States."

After I wrote that article I started to wonder about other force options available to the government. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_size_of_armed_forces lists the active duty and reserve numbers for 167 nations of the world, including America. These numbers seem to be current as of 2006 or so. According to this information there are a total of 2,932,400 active duty and reserve military personnel in the US. We'll ignore the fact this accounts for all services and includes non-combat troops, we'll just take the numbers as is.

According to http://www.bls.gov/oco/ocos159.htm in 2006 there where 2,097,700 security guards in America, with a fair chunk of those be police officers taking a second job to make some extra money. Again we'll just take the number as is.

If we add all those numbers up we have 1,800,000 police at all levels of government plus 2,932,400 military personnel plus 2,097,700 security guards. For this article we will round that number to 6.8 million.

According to various reports there are between 57 million and 80 million gun owners in America out of a total population of 286 million. I have seen reports of up to 295 million, but we will stick with the 286 million and we'll allow that difference to account for any increase in military, police and security guards, which we will call US government forces during this article.

So let us play the numbers game for a bit. If all the US government forces where to square off against just 57 million gun owners the ratio would be 8 to 1 (People vs US government forces). If all of the US government forces where to square off against 80 million gun owners the ratio would be 11 to 1 (People vs US government forces). In either case the US government forces would be vastly outnumbered in a conventional military battle situation. Let us be a bit more realistic here and say that only half of the US government forces would be willing to attack the people, that would leave US government forces at 3.4 million. Against 57 million gun owners the ratio would be 16 to 1 (People vs US government forces). Against 80 million gun owners that would be 23 to 1 (People vs US government forces). WOW! Those are suicide numbers in any conventional military battle situation.

Of course there are those who will say that the government will just bring in foreign troops. That same wikipedia article used above gives a total world military strength of 52,052,769 (including the US military). If we add the police and security guards we get 55,518,585. So with 57 million gun owners it is about even, with 80 million gun owners it is about 1.5 to 1 (People vs US govt forces + world military). Here is the problem for the government, if they were to bring in foreign troops the entire US population would oppose them, this changes the odds to 5 to 1 People vs US government forces + world military). A ratio of 5 to 1 is still considered an overwhelmingly superior force in military circles. But let us be more realistic, at best they will get half those numbers which changes the ratio of People vs US government forces + world military to 10 to 1, and that assumes that the People don't have anyone joining them at home and abroad. The best the government could hope for is one quarter of all the other militaries in the world or 13 million, this added to the 6.4 million US government forces for a total of 19.8 million or a ratio of 14.4 to 1 (People vs US government forces + 25% world military). Again another overwhelming superiority for the People.

Lets talk about some other numbers now, ammo numbers. Between November 2008 and January 2009 around 3,000,000,000 rounds of ammunition, that is billion with a "B", was sold in America. If we work on the premise that this 3 billion rounds of ammunition was stored away for the fight people saw on the horizon it means 53 rounds for every world soldier and US government force member. If only 10 % of those rounds shot hit their target it means being shot 5 times. If we use our 19.8 million number we end up with 151 rounds per soldier or be shot 15 times if only 10% of the shots hit. Keep in mind that most gun owners are good shots and hit far more than 10% of the time. Large caliber firearms are also very popular as well, as are 12 gauge shotguns. I don't think I want to be shot five times by a .270, 30-06, 30-30, .308, 7mm, 8mm, .300 Win Mag or 00 buck. These ammo numbers do not take into account sales since January, which have remained record breaking, nor do they account for ammunition that was already in the hands of the People. No one really knows how much ammo is out there, but people with a million rounds of ammo for their own use is not all that uncommon... remember some people have been buying guns and ammo for decades. If you wanted a real idea of the number of rounds of ammunition in the hands of the People multiple what flew off the shelves by ten, and that is probably a conservative number.

The last numbers to consider are food numbers. Long Term Storage food was the other big item being sold when ammo was flying off the shelves. People are thinking that with a fight you need to have food that will sit on the shelf a long time and that you can use in the field. This spring saw a huge increase in the numbers of gardens being planted. People are getting ready for whatever happens and for as long as it takes.

So ask yourself - is it really futile to resist given these numbers? Factor in the simple fact that the People will be waging a guerrilla war for the most part - think Vietnam, Irag Afghanistan and how badly the world's most powerful military has done and is doing. Not to mention that the People are far better armed and trained than the Viet Cong or the "insurgents" in Iraq and Afghanistan and there will be no "green areas" for the forces of evil to fall back to. The numbers do not lie, there is no way for the government to win against the People. Do not believe the lie. Even the Pentagon's own war games tell them that the US military vs the militia (People) ends up with the militia (People) winning every time.

The numbers say that the government line of "resistance is futile" is pure BS. The numbers say the score will be The People: 2 Tyrants: 0. I guess the final question for those who think going against the People is a good move would be "Do you really want to be on the losing side?"